Improved global air quality health index reveals ozone and nitrogen dioxide as main drivers of air-pollution-related acute mortality

Ambient air pollutants are leading contributors to global mortality. Despite the well-established risks, most studies have relied on single-pollutant models in limited regions, leaving the combined effects and individual contributions of pollutants unclear, particularly across countries. Here, we integrate daily mortality and air pollutant (nitrogen dioxide [NO], ozone [O], fine particulate matter, and sulfur dioxide) data from 482 cities in 12 countries/territories from 1998 to 2021 to assess the joint mortality risks and identify the main contributing pollutant through an air quality health index of multi-pollutant constrained groupwise additive models (AQHI-Multi). AQHI-Multi outperformed commonly used air quality indices in capturing the overall mortality risks. O and NO were the leading contributors (accounting for over 70% across countries/territories), with O's share increasing slightly to moderately in most countries/territories. These findings highlight the need for developing air quality indices using advanced multi-pollutant models and the emerging global significance of targeted control of O and NO.

Highlights - An advanced multi-pollutant model-based air quality health index was developed. -The index outperforms current indices in capturing acute mortality of air pollution. - O3 and NO2 are the main pollutants driving the risk index across regions. - O3 shows rising contributions to the index in most studied countries/territories.