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Trends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study

2016-10Journal article Restricted access
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dc.contributor.authorSousa-Uva, Mafalda
dc.contributor.authorAntunes, Liliana
dc.contributor.authorNunes, Baltazar
dc.contributor.authorRodrigues, Ana Paula
dc.contributor.authorSimões, José Augusto
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, Rogério
dc.contributor.authorBoavida, José Manuel
dc.contributor.authorDias, Carlos Matias
dc.date.accessioned2016-11-28T15:29:30Z
dc.date.available2017-06-28T00:30:12Z
dc.date.issued2016-10
dc.description.abstractBackground: Diabetes is known as a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Portugal is known as the European country with the highest prevalence of this disease. While diabetes prevalence data is up dated annually inPortugal, the General Practitioner’s (GP) Sentinel Network represents the only data source on diabetes incidence. This study describes the trends in Diabetes incidence, between 1992 and 2015, and estimate projections for the future incidence rates in Portugal until 2024. Methods: An ecological time-series study was conducted using data from GP Sentinel Net-work between 1992 and 2015. Family doctors reported all new cases of Diabetes in their patients’lists. Annual trends were estimated through Poisson regression models as well as the future incidence rates (until 2024), sex and age group stratified. Incidence rate projec-tions were adjusted to the distribution of the resident Portuguese population given Statistics Portugal projections. Results: The average increase in Diabetes incidence rate was in total 4.29%(CI95%3.80–4.80) per year under study .Until1998–2000, the annual incidence rate was higher inwomen, and from 1998–2000 to 2013-2015 turn out to be higher in men. The incidence rate projected for 2022–2024 was 972.77/105 inhabitants in total, and 846.74/105 and 1114.42/105, respectively, in women and men. Conclusions: This is the first study in Portugal to estimate diabetes incidence rate projections. The disturbing reported projections seem realistic if things continue as in the past. Actually, effective public health policies will need to be undertaken to minimize this alarming future scenario.pt_PT
dc.identifier.citationPrim Care Diabetes. 2016 Oct;10(5):329-33. doi: 10.1016/j.pcd.2016.05.003. Epub 2016 Jun 27pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.pcd.2016.05.003pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1751-9918
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/4100
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevier/ Primary Care Diabetes Europept_PT
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1751991816300249pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectDiabetespt_PT
dc.subjectIncidencept_PT
dc.subjectProjectionspt_PT
dc.subjectPortugalpt_PT
dc.subjectEpidemiologypt_PT
dc.subjectEstados de Saúde e de Doençapt_PT
dc.subjectMédicos-Sentinelapt_PT
dc.titleTrends in diabetes incidence from1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: a Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network studypt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage333pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue5pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage329pt_PT
oaire.citation.titlePrimary Care Diabetespt_PT
oaire.citation.volume10(5)pt_PT
rcaap.embargofctEmbargo de acordo com a política da revista.
rcaap.rightsembargoedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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