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Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale

2021-09-24Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorTobías, Aurelio
dc.contributor.authorHashizume, Masahiro
dc.contributor.authorHonda, Yasushi
dc.contributor.authorSera, Francesco
dc.contributor.authorNg, Chris Fook Sheng
dc.contributor.authorKim, Yoonhee
dc.contributor.authorRoye, Dominic
dc.contributor.authorChung, Yeonseung
dc.contributor.authorDang, Tran Ngoc
dc.contributor.authorKim, Ho
dc.contributor.authorLee, Whanhee
dc.contributor.authorÍñiguez, Carmen
dc.contributor.authorVicedo-Cabrera, Ana
dc.contributor.authorAbrutzky, Rosana
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yuming
dc.contributor.authorTong, Shilu
dc.contributor.authorCoelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio
dc.contributor.authorSaldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento
dc.contributor.authorLavigne, Eric
dc.contributor.authorCorrea, Patricia Matus
dc.contributor.authorOrtega, Nicolás Valdés
dc.contributor.authorKan, Haidong
dc.contributor.authorOsorio, Samuel
dc.contributor.authorKyselý, Jan
dc.contributor.authorUrban, Aleš
dc.contributor.authorOrru, Hans
dc.contributor.authorIndermitte, Ene
dc.contributor.authorJaakkola, Jouni J.K.
dc.contributor.authorRyti, Niilo R.I.
dc.contributor.authorPascal, Mathilde
dc.contributor.authorHuber, Veronika
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, Alexandra
dc.contributor.authorKatsouyanni, Klea
dc.contributor.authorAnalitis, Antonis
dc.contributor.authorEntezari, Alireza
dc.contributor.authorMayvaneh, Fatemeh
dc.contributor.authorGoodman, Patrick
dc.contributor.authorZeka, Ariana
dc.contributor.authorMichelozzi, Paola
dc.contributor.authorde’Donato, Francesca
dc.contributor.authorAlahmad, Barrak
dc.contributor.authorDiaz, Magali Hurtado
dc.contributor.authorDe la Cruz Valencia, César
dc.contributor.authorOvercenco, Ala
dc.contributor.authorHouthuijs, Danny
dc.contributor.authorAmeling, Caroline
dc.contributor.authorRao, Shilpa
dc.contributor.authorDi Ruscio, Francesco
dc.contributor.authorCarrasco, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorSeposo, Xerxes
dc.contributor.authorNunes, Baltazar
dc.contributor.authorMadureira, Joana
dc.contributor.authorHolobaca, Iulian-Horia
dc.contributor.authorScovronick, Noah
dc.contributor.authorAcquaotta, Fiorella
dc.contributor.authorForsberg, Bertil
dc.contributor.authorÅström, Christofer
dc.contributor.authorRagettli, Martina S.
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yue-Liang Leon
dc.contributor.authorChen, Bing-Yu
dc.contributor.authorLi, Shanshan
dc.contributor.authorColistro, Valentina
dc.contributor.authorZanobetti, Antonella
dc.contributor.authorSchwartz, Joel
dc.contributor.authorDung, Do Van
dc.contributor.authorArmstrong, Ben
dc.contributor.authorGasparrini, Antonio
dc.date.accessioned2022-07-05T15:42:29Z
dc.date.available2022-07-05T15:42:29Z
dc.date.issued2021-09-24
dc.description.abstractBackground: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. Results: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD. Conclusions: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.pt_PT
dc.description.abstractWhat this study adds: The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator of the relationship between temperature and mortality. It indicates the adaptability to climate, but little is known about its geographical changes in the global distribution. This article investigates the geographic differences of the MMT on a global scale and studies the influence of geographical, climatic, and socioeconomic factors. The results indicate that although there is still more room for adaptation, populations have adapted to the average temperature.
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationEnviron Epidemiol. 2021 Sep 24;5(5):e169. doi: 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169. eCollection 2021 Oct.pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2474-7882
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/8062
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherLippincott, Williams & Wilkinspt_PT
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://journals.lww.com/environepidem/Fulltext/2021/10000/Geographical_Variations_of_the_Minimum_Mortality.3.aspxpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectAdaptationpt_PT
dc.subjectClimatept_PT
dc.subjectDistributed Lag Nonlinear Modelspt_PT
dc.subjectMinimum Mortality Temperaturept_PT
dc.subjectMulti-citypt_PT
dc.subjectMulti-countrypt_PT
dc.subjectTime-seriespt_PT
dc.subjectDeterminantes da Saúde e da Doençapt_PT
dc.titleGeographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scalept_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue5pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPagee169pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleEnvironmental Epidemiologypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume5pt_PT
rcaap.embargofctAcesso de acordo com política editorial da revista.pt_PT
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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