Browsing by Author "Kynčl, Jan"
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- Determinants of fatal outcome in patients admitted to intensive care units with influenza, European Union 2009–2017Publication . Penttinen, Pasi; Snacken, René; Lyytikäinen, Outi; Ikonen, Niina; Melillo, Tanya; Melillo, Jackie M.; Staroňová, Edita; Mikas, Ján; Popow-Kraupp, Theresia; Orta Gomes, Carlos M.; Guiomar, Raquel; Slezák, Pavel; Kynčl, Jan; Meijer, Adam; Van Gageldonk-Lafeber, Arianne B.; Domegan, Lisa; O’Donnell, Joan; Lupulescu, Emilia; Popovici, Odette; Carnahan, Annasara; Brytting, Mia; Delgado-Sanz, Concepción; Oliva Domínguez, Jesús A.; Larrauri, Amparo; Hubert, Bruno; Bonmarin, Isabelle; Gomes Dias, Joana; Adlhoch, CorneliaBackground: Morbidity, severity, and mortality associated with annual influenza epidemics are of public health concern. We analyzed surveillance data on hospitalized laboratory-confirmed influenza cases admitted to intensive care units to identify common determinants for fatal outcome and inform and target public health prevention strategies, including risk communication. Methods: We performed a descriptive analysis and used Poisson regression models with robust variance to estimate the association of age, sex, virus (sub)type, and underlying medical condition with fatal outcome using European Union data from 2009 to 2017. Results: Of 13 368 cases included in the basic dataset, 2806 (21%) were fatal. Age ≥40 years and infection with influenza A virus were associated with fatal outcome. Of 5886 cases with known underlying medical conditions and virus A subtype included in a more detailed analysis, 1349 (23%) were fatal. Influenza virus A(H1N1)pdm09 or A(H3N2) infection, age ≥60 years, cancer, human immunodeficiency virus infection and/or other immune deficiency, and heart, kidney, and liver disease were associated with fatal outcome; the risk of death was lower for patients with chronic lung disease and for pregnant women. Conclusions: This study re-emphasises the importance of preventing influenza in the elderly and tailoring strategies to risk groups with underlying medical conditions.
- Estimated number of lives directly saved by COVID-19 vaccination programmes in the WHO European Region from December, 2020, to March, 2023: a retrospective surveillance studyPublication . Meslé, Margaux M.I.; Brown, Jeremy; Mook, Piers; Katz, Mark A.; Hagan, José; Pastore, Roberta; Benka, Bernhard; Redlberger-Fritz, Monika; Bossuyt, Nathalie; Stouten, Veerle; Vernemmen, Catharina; Constantinou, Elisabet; Maly, Marek; Kynčl, Jan; Sanca, Ondrej; Krause, Tyra Grove; Vestergaard, Lasse Skafte; Leino, Tuija; Poukka, Eero; Gkolfinopoulou, Kassiani; Mellou, Kassiani; Tsintziloni, Maria; Molnár, Zsuzsanna; Aspelund, Gudrun; Thordardottir, Marianna; Domegan, Lisa; Kelly, Eva; O'Donell, Joan; Urdiales, Alberto-Mateo; Riccardo, Flavia; Sacco, Chiara; Bumšteinas, Viktoras; Liausediene, Rasa; Mossong, Joël; Vergison, Anne; Borg, Maria-Louise; Melillo, Tanya; Kocinski, Dragan; Pollozhani, Enkela; Meijerink, Hinta; Costa, Diana; Gomes, João Paulo; Leite, Pedro Pinto; Druc, Alina; Gutu, Veaceslav; Mita, Valentin; Lazar, Mihaela; Popescu, Rodica; Popovici, Odette; Musilová, Monika; Mrzel, Maja; Socan, Maja; Učakar, Veronika; Limia, Aurora; Mazagatos, Clara; Olmedo, Carmen; Dabrera, Gavin; Kall, Meaghan; Sinnathamby, Mary; McGowan, Graham; McMenamin, Jim; Morrison, Kirsty; Nitzan, Dorit; Widdowson, Marc-Alain; Smallwood, Catherine; Pebody, Richard; WHO European Respiratory Surveillance NetworkBackground: By March, 2023, 54 countries, areas, and territories (hereafter CAT) in the WHO European Region had reported more than 2·2 million COVID-19-related deaths to the WHO Regional Office for Europe. Here, we estimated how many lives were directly saved by vaccinating adults in the WHO European Region from December, 2020, to March, 2023. Methods: In this retrospective surveillance study, we estimated the number of lives directly saved by age group, vaccine dose, and circulating variant-of-concern (VOC) period, regionally and nationally, using weekly data on COVID-19 mortality and infection, COVID-19 vaccination uptake, and SARS-CoV-2 virus characterisations by lineage downloaded from The European Surveillance System on June 11, 2023, as well as vaccine effectiveness data from the literature. We included data for six age groups (25-49 years, 50-59 years, ≥60 years, 60-69 years, 70-79 years, and ≥80 years). To be included in the analysis, CAT needed to have reported both COVID-19 vaccination and mortality data for at least one of the four older age groups. Only CAT that reported weekly data for both COVID-19 vaccination and mortality by age group for 90% of study weeks or more in the full study period were included. We calculated the percentage reduction in the number of expected and reported deaths. Findings: Between December, 2020, and March, 2023, in 34 of 54 CAT included in the analysis, COVID-19 vaccines reduced deaths by 59% overall (CAT range 17-82%), representing approximately 1·6 million lives saved (range 1·5-1·7 million) in those aged 25 years or older: 96% of lives saved were aged 60 years or older and 52% were aged 80 years or older; first boosters saved 51% of lives, and 60% were saved during the Omicron period. Interpretation: Over nearly 2·5 years, most lives saved by COVID-19 vaccination were in older adults by first booster dose and during the Omicron period, reinforcing the importance of up-to-date vaccination among the most at-risk individuals. Further modelling work should evaluate indirect effects of vaccination and public health and social measures.