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Browsing by Author "Gherasim, Alin"

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  • 2015/16 I-MOVE/I-MOVE+ multicentre case control study in Europe: moderate vaccine effectiveness estimates against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and low estimates against lineage mismatched influenza B among children
    Publication . Kissling, Esther; Valenciano, Marta; Pozo, Francisco; Vilcu, Ana-Maria; Reuss, Annicka; Rizzo, Caterina; Larrauri, Amparo; Horváth, Judit Krisztina; Brytting, Mia; Domegan, Lisa; Korczyńska, Monika; Meijer, Adam; Machado, Ausenda; Ivanciuc, Alina; Višekruna Vučina, Vesna; van der Werf, Sylvie; Schweiger, Brunhilde; Bella, Antonino; Gherasim, Alin; Ferenczi, Annamária; Zakikhany, Katherina; O Donnell, Joan; Paradowska-Stankiewicz, Iwona; Dijkstra, Frederika; Guiomar, Raquel; Lazar, Mihaela; Kurečić Filipović, Sanja; Johansen, Kari; Moren, Alain; I-MOVE/I-MOVE+ study team
    Background:During the 2015/16 influenza season in Europe, the co-circulating influenza viruses were A(H1N1)pdm09 and B/Victoria, which was antigenically distinct from the B/Yamagata component in the trivalent influenza vaccine. Methods:We used the test negative design in a multicentre case–control study in twelve European countries to measure 2015/16 influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against medically-attended influenza-like illness (ILI) laboratory-confirmed as influenza. General practitioners swabbed a systematic sample of consulting ILI patients ainfluenza Vaccinend a random sample of influenza positive swabs were sequenced. We calculated adjusted VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H1N1)pdm09 genetic group 6B.1 and influenza B overall and by age group. Results: We included 11,430 ILI patients, of which 2272 were influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and 2901 were influenza B cases. Overall VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was 32.9% (95% CI: 15.5-46.7). Among those aged 0–14, 15–64 and ≥65  years VE against A(H1N1)pdm09 was 31.9% (95% CI: -32.3-65.0), 41.4% (95%CI: 20.5-56.7) and 13.2% (95% CI: -38.0-45.3) respectively. Overall VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 genetic group 6B.1 was 32.8% (95%CI: -4.1-56.7). Among those aged 0–14, 15–64 and ≥65 years VE against influenza B was -47.6% (95%CI: -124.9-3.1), 27.3% (95%CI: -4.6-49.4), and 9.3% (95%CI: -44.1-42.9) respectively. Conclusions: VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and its genetic group 6B.1 was moderate in children and adults, and low among individuals ≥65  years. VE against influenza B was low and heterogeneous among age groups. More information on effects of previous vaccination and previous infection are needed to understand the VE results against influenza B in the context of a mismatched vaccine.
    2018-06Journal article Open access Show more
  • 2015/16 seasonal vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and B among elderly people in Europe: results from the I-MOVE+ project
    Publication . Rondy, Marc; Larrauri, Amparo; Casado, Itziar; Alfonsi, Valeria; Pitigoi, Daniela; Launay, Odile; Syrjänen, Ritva K; Gefenaite, Giedre; Machado, Ausenda; Vučina, Vesna Višekruna; Horváth, Judith Krisztina; Paradowska-Stankiewicz, Iwona; Marbus, Sierk D; Gherasim, Alin; Díaz-González, Jorge Alberto; Rizzo, Caterina; Ivanciuc, Alina E; Galtier, Florence; Ikonen, Niina; Mickiene, Aukse; Gomez, Veronica; Kurečić Filipović, Sanja; Ferenczi, Annamária; Korcinska, Monika R; van Gageldonk-Lafeber, Rianne; I-MOVE+ hospital working group; Valenciano, Marta
    We conducted a multicentre test-negative case-control study in 27 hospitals of 11 European countries to measure 2015/16 influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against hospitalised influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and B among people aged ≥ 65 years. Patients swabbed within 7 days after onset of symptoms compatible with severe acute respiratory infection were included. Information on demographics, vaccination and underlying conditions was collected. Using logistic regression, we measured IVE adjusted for potential confounders. We included 355 influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 cases, 110 influenza B cases, and 1,274 controls. Adjusted IVE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was 42% (95% confidence interval (CI): 22 to 57). It was 59% (95% CI: 23 to 78), 48% (95% CI: 5 to 71), 43% (95% CI: 8 to 65) and 39% (95% CI: 7 to 60) in patients with diabetes mellitus, cancer, lung and heart disease, respectively. Adjusted IVE against influenza B was 52% (95% CI: 24 to 70). It was 62% (95% CI: 5 to 85), 60% (95% CI: 18 to 80) and 36% (95% CI: -23 to 67) in patients with diabetes mellitus, lung and heart disease, respectively. 2015/16 IVE estimates against hospitalised influenza in elderly people was moderate against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and B, including among those with diabetes mellitus, cancer, lung or heart diseases.
    2017-07-30Journal article Open access Show more
  • Effectiveness of influenza vaccine against influenza A in Europe in seasons of different A(H1N1)pdm09 and the same A(H3N2) vaccine components (2016-17 and 2017-18)
    Publication . Kissling, Esther; Pozo, Francisco; Buda, Silke; Vilcu, Ana-Maria; Rizzo, Caterina; Gherasim, Alin; Krisztina Horváth, Judit; Brytting, Mia; Domegan, Lisa; Meijer, Adam; Paradowska-Stankiewicz, Iwona; Machado, Ausenda; Višekruna Vučina, Vesna; Lazar, Mihaela; Johansen, Kari; Dürrwald, Ralf; van der Werf, Sylvie; Bella, Antonino; Larrauri, Amparo; Ferenczi, Annamária; Zakikhany, Katherina; O'Donnell, Joan; Dijkstra, Frederika; Bogusz, Joanna; Guiomar, Raquel; Kurečić Filipović, Sanja; Pitigoi, Daniela; Penttinen, Pasi; Valenciano, Marta; Gomez, Veronica; Kislaya, Irina; Nunes, Baltazar; I-MOVE/I-MOVE+ study team
    Introduction: Influenza A(H3N2) viruses predominated in Europe in 2016–17. In 2017–18 A(H3N2) and A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses co-circulated. The A(H3N2) vaccine component was the same in both seasons; while the A(H1N1)pdm09 component changed in 2017–18. In both seasons, vaccine seed A(H3N2) viruses developed adaptations/alterations during propagation in eggs, impacting antigenicity. Methods: We used the test-negative design in a multicentre primary care case-control study in 12 European countries to measure 2016–17 and 2017–18 influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against laboratory-confirmed influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) overall and by age group. Results: During the 2017–18 season, the overall VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was 59% (95% CI: 47–69). Among those aged 0–14, 15–64 and ≥65 years, VE against A(H1N1)pdm09 was 64% (95% CI: 37–79), 50% (95% CI: 28–66) and 66% (95% CI: 42–80), respectively. Overall VE against influenza A(H3N2) was 28% (95% CI: 17–38) in 2016–17 and 13% (95% CI: -15 to 34) in 2017–18. Among 0–14-year-olds VE against A(H3N2) was 28% (95%CI: -10 to 53) and 29% (95% CI: -87 to 73), among 15–64-year-olds 34% (95% CI: 18–46) and 33% (95% CI: -3 to 56) and among those aged ≥65 years 15% (95% CI: -10 to 34) and -9% (95% CI: -74 to 32) in 2016–17 and 2017–18, respectively. Conclusions: Our study suggests the new A(H1N1)pdm09 vaccine component conferred good protection against circulating strains, while VE against A(H3N2) was <35% in 2016–17 and 2017–18. The egg propagation derived antigenic mismatch of the vaccine seed virus with circulating strains may have contributed to this low effectiveness. A(H3N2) seed viruses for vaccines in subsequent seasons may be subject to the same adaptations; in years with lower than expected VE, recommendations of preventive measures other than vaccination should be given in a timely manner.
    2019-09-17Journal article Open access Show more
  • Exploring the effect of previous inactivated influenza vaccination on seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness against medically attended influenza: results of the European I-MOVE multicentre test-negative case-control study, 2011/2012-2016/2017
    Publication . Valenciano, Marta; Kissling, Esther; Larrauri, Amparo; Nunes, Baltazar; Pitigoi, Daniela; O'Donnell, Joan; Reuss, Annicka; Horváth, Judit Krisztina; Paradowska-Stankiewicz, Iwona; Rizzo, Caterina; Falchi, Alessandra; Daviaud, Isabelle; Brytting, Mia; Meijer, Adam; Kaic, Bernard; Gherasim, Alin; Machado, Ausenda; Ivanciuc, Alina; Domegan, Lisa; Schweiger, Brunhilde; Ferenczi, Annamária; Korczyńska, Monika; Bella, Antonino; Vilcu, Ana-Maria; Mosnier, Anne; Zakikhany, Katherina; de Lange, Marit; Kurečić Filipovićović, Sanja; Johansen, Kari; Moren, Alain; I-MOVE primary care multicentre case-control team
    BACKGROUND: Results of previous influenza vaccination effects on current season influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) are inconsistent. OBJECTIVES: To explore previous influenza vaccination effects on current season VE among population targeted for vaccination. METHODS: We used 2011/2012 to 2016/2017 I-MOVE primary care multicentre test-negative data. For each season, we compared current season adjusted VE (aVE) between individuals vaccinated and unvaccinated in previous season. Using unvaccinated in both seasons as a reference, we then compared aVE between vaccinated in both seasons, current only, and previous only. RESULTS: We included 941, 2645 and 959 influenza-like illness patients positive for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2) and B, respectively, and 5532 controls. In 2011/2012, 2014/2015 and 2016/2017, A(H3N2) aVE point estimates among those vaccinated in previous season were -68%, -21% and -19%, respectively; among unvaccinated in previous season, these were 33%, 48% and 46%, respectively (aVE not computable for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and B). Compared to current season vaccination only, VE for both seasons' vaccination was (i) similar in two of four seasons for A(H3N2) (absolute difference [ad] 6% and 8%); (ii) lower in three of four seasons for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 (ad 18%, 26% and 29%), in two seasons for influenza A(H3N2) (ad 27% and 39%) and in two of three seasons for influenza B (ad 26% and 37%); (iii) higher in one season for influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 (ad 20%) and influenza B (ad 24%). CONCLUSIONS: We did not identify any pattern of previous influenza vaccination effect. Prospective cohort studies documenting influenza infections, vaccinations and vaccine types are needed to understand previous influenza vaccinations' effects.
    2018-09Journal article Open access Show more
  • Health and economic impact of seasonal influenza mass vaccination strategies in European settings: A mathematical modelling and cost-effectiveness analysis
    Publication . Sandmann, Frank; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Bernard-Stoecklin, Sibylle; Casado, Itziar; Castilla, Jesús; Domegan, Lisa; Gherasim, Alin; Hooiveld, Mariëtte; Kislaya, Irina; Larrauri, Amparo; Levy-Bruhl, Daniel; Machado, Ausenda; Marques, Diogo; Martínez-Baz, Iván; Mazagatos, Clara; McMenamin, Jim; Meijer, Adam; Murray, Josephine; Nunes, Baltazar; O'Donnell, Joan; Reynolds, Arlene; Thorrington, Dominic; Pebody, Richard; Baguelin, Marc
    Introduction: Despite seasonal influenza vaccination programmes in most countries targeting individuals aged ≥ 65 (or ≥ 55) years and high risk-groups, significant disease burden remains. We explored the impact and cost-effectiveness of 27 vaccination programmes targeting the elderly and/or children in eight European settings (n = 205.8 million). Methods: We used an age-structured dynamic-transmission model to infer age- and (sub-)type-specific seasonal influenza virus infections calibrated to England, France, Ireland, Navarra, The Netherlands, Portugal, Scotland, and Spain between 2010/11 and 2017/18. The base-case vaccination scenario consisted of non-adjuvanted, non-high dose trivalent vaccines (TV) and no universal paediatric vaccination. We explored i) moving the elderly to "improved" (i.e., adjuvanted or high-dose) trivalent vaccines (iTV) or non-adjuvanted non-high-dose quadrivalent vaccines (QV); ii) adopting mass paediatric vaccination with TV or QV; and iii) combining the elderly and paediatric strategies. We estimated setting-specific costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained from the healthcare perspective, and discounted QALYs at 3.0%. Results: In the elderly, the estimated numbers of infection per 100,000 population are reduced by a median of 261.5 (range across settings: 154.4, 475.7) when moving the elderly to iTV and by 150.8 (77.6, 262.3) when moving them to QV. Through indirect protection, adopting mass paediatric programmes with 25% uptake achieves similar reductions in the elderly of 233.6 using TV (range: 58.9, 425.6) or 266.5 using QV (65.7, 477.9), with substantial health gains from averted infections across ages. At €35,000/QALY gained, moving the elderly to iTV plus adopting mass paediatric QV programmes provides the highest mean net benefits and probabilities of being cost-effective in all settings and paediatric coverage levels. Conclusion: Given the direct and indirect protection, and depending on the vaccine prices, model results support a combination of having moved the elderly to an improved vaccine and adopting universal paediatric vaccination programmes across the European settings.
    2022-02-23Journal article Open access Show more
  • I-MOVE multicentre case-control study 2010/11 to 2014/15: Is there within-season waning of influenza type/subtype vaccine effectiveness with increasing time since vaccination?
    Publication . Kissling, Esther; Nunes, Baltazar; Robertson, Chris; Valenciano, Marta; Reuss, Annicka; Larrauri, Amparo; Cohen, Jean Marie; Oroszi, Beatrix; Rizzo, Caterina; Machado, Ausenda; Pitigoi, Daniela; Domegan, Lisa; Paradowska-Stankiewicz, Iwona; Buchholz, Udo; Gherasim, Alin; Daviaud, Isabelle; Horváth, Judit Krisztina; Bella, Antonino; Lupulescu, Emilia; O Donnell, Joan; Korczyńska, Monika; Moren, Alain; I-MOVE case–control study team
    Since the 2008/9 influenza season, the I-MOVE multicentre case-control study measures influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against medically-attended influenza-like-illness (ILI) laboratory confirmed as influenza. In 2011/12, European studies reported a decline in VE against influenza A(H3N2) within the season. Using combined I-MOVE data from 2010/11 to 2014/15 we studied the effects of time since vaccination on influenza type/subtype-specific VE. We modelled influenza type/subtype-specific VE by time since vaccination using a restricted cubic spline, controlling for potential confounders (age, sex, time of onset, chronic conditions). Over 10,000 ILI cases were included in each analysis of influenza A(H3N2), A(H1N1)pdm09 and B; with 4,759, 3,152 and 3,617 influenza positive cases respectively. VE against influenza A(H3N2) reached 50.6% (95% CI: 30.0-65.1) 38 days after vaccination, declined to 0% (95% CI: -18.1-15.2) from 111 days onwards. At day 54 VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 reached 55.3% (95% CI: 37.9-67.9) and remained between this value and 50.3% (95% CI: 34.8-62.1) until season end. VE against influenza B declined from 70.7% (95% CI: 51.3-82.4) 44 days after vaccination to 21.4% (95% CI: -57.4-60.8) at season end. To assess if vaccination campaign strategies need revising more evidence on VE by time since vaccination is urgently needed.
    2016-04-21Journal article Open access Show more
  • Impact of influenza vaccination programmes among the elderly population on primary care, Portugal, Spain and the Netherlands: 2015/16 to 2017/18 influenza seasons
    Publication . Machado, Ausenda; Mazagatos, Clara; Dijkstra, Frederika; Kislaya, Irina; Gherasim, Alin; McDonald, Scott A.; Kissling, Esther; Valenciano, Marta; Meijer, Adam; Hooiveld, Mariëtte; Nunes, Baltazar; Larrauri, Amparo
    To increase the acceptability of influenza vaccine, it is important to quantify the overall benefits of the vaccination programme.AimTo assess the impact of influenza vaccination in Portugal, Spain and the Netherlands, we estimated the number of medically attended influenza-confirmed cases (MAICC) in primary care averted in the seasons 2015/16 to 2017/18 among those ≥ 65 years.We used an ecological approach to estimate vaccination impact. We compared the number of observed MAICC (n) to the estimated number that would have occurred without the vaccination programme (N). To estimate N, we used: (i) MAICC estimated from influenza surveillance systems, (ii) vaccine coverage, (iii) pooled (sub)type-specific influenza vaccine effectiveness estimates for seasons 2015/16 to 2017/18, weighted by the proportion of virus circulation in each season and country. We estimated the number of MAICC averted (NAE) and the prevented fraction (PF) by the vaccination programme. The annual average of NAE in the population ≥ 65 years was 33, 58 and 204 MAICC per 100,000 in Portugal, Spain and the Netherlands, respectively. On average, influenza vaccination prevented 10.7%, 10.9% and 14.2% of potential influenza MAICC each season in these countries. The lowest PF was in 2016/17 (4.9-6.1%) with an NAE ranging from 24 to 69 per 100,000. Our results suggest that influenza vaccination programmes reduced a substantial number of MAICC. Together with studies on hospitalisations and deaths averted by influenza vaccination programmes, this will contribute to the evaluation of the impact of vaccination strategies and strengthen public health communication.
    2019-11-07Journal article Open access Show more
  • Interim 2017/18 influenza seasonal vaccine effectiveness: combined results from five European studies
    Publication . Rondy, Marc; Kissling, Esther; Emborg, Hanne-Dorthe; Gherasim, Alin; Pebody, Richard; Trebbien, Ramona; Pozo, Francisco; Larrauri, Amparo; McMenamin, Jim; Valenciano, Marta; I-Move/I-Move Group
    Between September 2017 and February 2018, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2) and B viruses (mainly B/Yamagata, not included in 2017/18 trivalent vaccines) co-circulated in Europe. Interim results from five European studies indicate that, in all age groups, 2017/18 influenza vaccine effectiveness was 25 to 52% against any influenza, 55 to 68% against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, -42 to 7% against influenza A(H3N2) and 36 to 54% against influenza B. 2017/18 influenza vaccine should be promoted where influenza still circulates.
    2018-03Journal article Open access Show more
  • Interim 2018/19 influenza vaccine effectiveness: six European studies, October 2018 to January 2019
    Publication . Kissling, Esther; Rose, Angela; Emborg, Hanne-Dorthe; Gherasim, Alin; Pebody, Richard; Pozo, Francisco; Trebbien, Ramona; Mazagatos, Clara; Whitaker, Heather; Valenciano, Marta; European IVE group
    Seasonal influenza vaccine is recommended in all European Union (EU) countries for older people and others at increased risk of severe influenza and its complications, including those with chronic diseases. In the United Kingdom (UK), incremental introduction of a universal childhood influenza vaccination programme began in 2013/14. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations for trivalent influenza vaccine strains for the 2018/19 northern hemisphere influenza season included an A/Michigan/45/2015 (H1N1)pdm09-like virus, an A/Singapore/INFIMH-16–0019/2016 (H3N2)-like virus and a B/Colorado/06/2017-like virus from the B/Victoria lineage. The early 2018/19 influenza season in Europe was characterised by both influenza A virus subtypes circulating widely. There was co-circulation in some countries, with others reporting dominance of either A(H1N1)pdm09 or A(H3N2) viruses. The season started late in most countries compared with previous seasons, with few influenza B viruses detected in the WHO European Region. Since the 2008/09 season, the UK, Denmark, Spain, and several other EU countries conducting multicentre studies, have participated in I-MOVE (Influenza – Monitoring Vaccine Effectiveness in Europe), a network measuring influenza vaccine effectiveness each season. Interim results from six established influenza VE studies across Europe for the 2018/19 season indicate that VE against laboratory-confirmed influenza A ranged between 32% and 43% among all ages in primary care and hospital settings and was 59% in the target groups for vaccination.
    2019-02-21Journal article Open access Show more
  • Low 2016/17 season vaccine effectiveness against hospitalised influenza A(H3N2) among elderly: awareness warranted for 2017/18 season
    Publication . Rondy, Marc; Gherasim, Alin; Casado, Itziar; Launay, Odile; Rizzo, Caterina; Pitigoi, Daniela; Mickiene, Aukse; Marbus, Sierk D; Machado, Ausenda; Syrjänen, Ritva K; Pem-Novose, Iva; Horváth, Judith Krisztina; Larrauri, Amparo; Castilla, Jesús; Vanhems, Philippe; Alfonsi, Valeria; Ivanciuc, Alina E; Kuliese, Monika; van Gageldonk-Lafeber, Rianne; Gomez, Veronica; Ikonen, Niina; Lovric, Zvjezdana; Ferenczi, Annamária; Moren, Alain; I-MOVE+ hospital working group
    In a multicentre European hospital study we measured influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) against A(H3N2) in 2016/17. Adjusted IVE was 17% (95% confidence interval (CI): 1 to 31) overall; 25% (95% CI: 2 to 43) among 65-79-year-olds and 13% (95% CI: -15 to 30) among those ≥ 80 years. As the A(H3N2) vaccine component has not changed for 2017/18, physicians and public health experts should be aware that IVE could be low where A(H3N2) viruses predominate.
    2017-10-12Journal article Open access Show more