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  • Variation in reporting of heatstroke mortality: evidence from a multi-country study
    Publication . Tobias, Aurelio; Honda, Yasushi; Madaniyazi, Lina; Alhamad, Barrak; Lavigne, Erik; Roye, Dominic; Tong, Shilu; de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline; Huber, Veronica; Urban, Ales; das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana; Achilleos, Souzana; Parks, Robbie M.; Iñiguez, Carmen; Masselot, Pierre; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M.; Armstrong, Ben; Gasparrini, Antonio; Hashizume, Masahiro; Multi-City Multi-Country Collaborative Research Network
    Background: Heatstroke represents the most severe manifestation of heat exposure. Heatstroke is rare and under-reported, resulting in limited empirical data on its global incidence and burden. This study aimed to examine geographical variations and temporal trends in reported heatstroke mortality across multiple countries. Methods: We collected annual heatstroke mortality data from 34 countries participating in the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network between 2000 and 2022, using the ICD-10 code X30. Country-specific mortality rates were estimated using Poisson regression, alongside analyses of annual trends and associations with mean warm-season temperature. We also assessed the proportion of heatstroke deaths relative to both overall heat and extreme heat-attributable all-cause mortality. Findings: Heatstroke mortality rates varied widely across countries, with Japan reporting the highest rate (5·81 per 1 million population; 95% CI 4·43-7·62), followed by Cyprus (2·51; 1·36-4·61), and China (2·42; 1·21-4·85). By contrast, most countries in Europe, South America, and southeast Asia reported rates of less than one death per 1 million population. Heatstroke mortality increased over time in several countries and was associated with warm-season temperatures in most regions. The proportion of heatstroke deaths relative to overall heat-attributable mortality ranged from less than 1% in many countries to as close to 24% in Japan. When analyses were restricted to deaths attributable to extreme heat, the proportion of heatstroke deaths increased substantially. Interpretation: Our broad international assessment of heatstroke mortality highlights its distinct patterns compared with overall heat-attributable mortality. The observed variability likely reflects differences in recognition, reporting, and diagnostic practices, while climate exposure and health system capacity influence whether heat-related deaths are identified and recorded as heatstroke.
    2026-03Artigo científico Acesso aberto Ver mais