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Temperature frequency and mortality: Assessing adaptation to local temperature

2024-05-01Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorWu, Yao
dc.contributor.authorWen, Bo
dc.contributor.authorGasparrini, Antonio
dc.contributor.authorArmstrong, Ben
dc.contributor.authorSera, Francesco
dc.contributor.authorLavigne, Eric
dc.contributor.authorLi, Shanshan
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yuming
dc.contributor.authorOvercenco, Ala
dc.contributor.authorUrban, Aleš
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, Alexandra
dc.contributor.authorEntezari, Alireza
dc.contributor.authorVicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria
dc.contributor.authorZanobetti, Antonella
dc.contributor.authorAnalitis, Antonis
dc.contributor.authorZeka, Ariana
dc.contributor.authorTobias, Aurelio
dc.contributor.authorNunes, Baltazar
dc.contributor.authorAlahmad, Barrak
dc.contributor.authorForsberg, Bertil
dc.contributor.authorÍñiguez, Carmen
dc.contributor.authorAmeling, Caroline
dc.contributor.authorCruz Valencia, César De la
dc.contributor.authorHouthuijs, Danny
dc.contributor.authorDung, Do Van
dc.contributor.authorRoye, Dominic
dc.contributor.authorIndermitte, Ene
dc.contributor.authorMayvaneh, Fatemeh
dc.contributor.authorAcquaotta, Fiorella
dc.contributor.authorde'Donato, Francesca
dc.contributor.authorCarrasco-Escobar, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorKan, Haidong
dc.contributor.authorCarlsen, Hanne Krage
dc.contributor.authorOrru, Hans
dc.contributor.authorKim, Ho
dc.contributor.authorHolobaca, Iulian-Horia
dc.contributor.authorKyselý, Jan
dc.contributor.authorMadureira, Joana
dc.contributor.authorSchwartz, Joel
dc.contributor.authorJaakkola, Jouni J.K.
dc.contributor.authorKatsouyanni, Klea
dc.contributor.authorDiaz, Magali Hurtado
dc.contributor.authorRagettli, Martina S.
dc.contributor.authorHashizume, Masahiro
dc.contributor.authorPascal, Mathilde
dc.contributor.authorCoelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio
dc.contributor.authorOrtega, Nicolás Valdés
dc.contributor.authorRyti, Niilo
dc.contributor.authorScovronick, Noah
dc.contributor.authorMichelozzi, Paola
dc.contributor.authorCorrea, Patricia Matus
dc.contributor.authorGoodman, Patrick
dc.contributor.authorSaldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento
dc.contributor.authorRaz, Raanan
dc.contributor.authorAbrutzky, Rosana
dc.contributor.authorOsorio, Samuel
dc.contributor.authorPan, Shih-Chun
dc.contributor.authorRao, Shilpa
dc.contributor.authorTong, Shilu
dc.contributor.authorAchilleos, Souzana
dc.contributor.authorDang, Tran Ngoc
dc.contributor.authorColistro, Valentina
dc.contributor.authorHuber, Veronika
dc.contributor.authorLee, Whanhee
dc.contributor.authorSeposo, Xerxes
dc.contributor.authorHonda, Yasushi
dc.contributor.authorKim, Yoonhee
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yue Leon
dc.contributor.authorLi, Shanshan
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yuming
dc.date.accessioned2025-02-27T11:40:12Z
dc.date.available2025-02-27T11:40:12Z
dc.date.issued2024-05-01
dc.description.abstractAssessing the association between temperature frequency and mortality can provide insights into human adaptation to local ambient temperatures. We collected daily time-series data on mortality and temperature from 757 locations in 47 countries/regions during 1979–2020. We used a two-stage time series design to assess the association between temperature frequency and all-cause mortality. The results were pooled at the national, regional, and global levels. We observed a consistent decrease in the risk of mortality as the normalized frequency of temperature increases across the globe. The average increase in mortality risk comparing the 10th to 100th percentile of normalized frequency was 13.03% (95% CI: 12.17–13.91), with substantial regional differences (from 4.56% in Australia and New Zealand to 33.06% in South Europe). The highest increase in mortality was observed for high-income countries (13.58%, 95% CI: 12.56–14.61), followed by lower-middle-income countries (12.34%, 95% CI: 9.27–15.51). This study observed a declining risk of mortality associated with higher temperature frequency. Our findings suggest that populations can adapt to their local climate with frequent exposure, with the adapting ability varying geographically due to differences in climatic and socioeconomic characteristics.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipThis study was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (GNT2000581). YW and BW were supported by China Scholarship Council [grant numbers 202006010044 and 202006010043]. AU was supported by the Czech Science Foundation (project number 22-24920S); PHNS by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP); ST by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (grant number 18411951600); AG and FS by the Medical Research Council UK (grant ID MR/R013349/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID NE/R009384/1), and the EU’s Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655); FdD by the EU’s Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655). SL was supported by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (GNT2009866). YG was supported by the Career Development Fellowship (GNT1163693) and Leader Fellowship (GNT2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council.
dc.identifier.citationEnviron Int. 2024 May:187:108691. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2024.108691. Epub 2024 May 1
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.envint.2024.108691
dc.identifier.issn0160-4120
dc.identifier.pmid38718673
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/10391
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relationExposure to heat and air pollution in EUrope – cardiopulmonary impacts and benefits of mitigation and adaptation
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412024002770?via%3Dihub
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironment International
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectTemperature
dc.subjectAdaptation
dc.subjectFrequency
dc.subjectMortality
dc.subjectClimate Change
dc.subjectMCC
dc.subjectDeterminantes da Saúde e da Doença
dc.titleTemperature frequency and mortality: Assessing adaptation to local temperature
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleExposure to heat and air pollution in EUrope – cardiopulmonary impacts and benefits of mitigation and adaptation
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/820655/EU
oaire.citation.startPage108691
oaire.citation.titleEnvironment International
oaire.citation.volume187
oaire.fundingStreamH2020
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100008530
project.funder.nameEuropean Commission
relation.isProjectOfPublication59609b8b-2750-43e0-8fe9-155a4915a572
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery59609b8b-2750-43e0-8fe9-155a4915a572

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