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The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

2021-05-31Journal article Restricted access
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dc.contributor.authorVicedo-Cabrera, A.M.
dc.contributor.authorScovronick, N.
dc.contributor.authorSera, F.
dc.contributor.authorRoyé, D.
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, R.
dc.contributor.authorTobias, A.
dc.contributor.authorAstrom, C.
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Y.
dc.contributor.authorHonda, Y.
dc.contributor.authorHondula, D.M.
dc.contributor.authorAbrutzky, R.
dc.contributor.authorTong, S.
dc.contributor.authorCoelho, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio
dc.contributor.authorSaldiva, P. H. Nascimento
dc.contributor.authorLavigne, E.
dc.contributor.authorCorrea, P. Matus
dc.contributor.authorOrtega, N. Valdes
dc.contributor.authorKan, H.
dc.contributor.authorOsorio, S.
dc.contributor.authorKyselý, J.
dc.contributor.authorUrban, A.
dc.contributor.authorOrru, H.
dc.contributor.authorIndermitte, E.
dc.contributor.authorJaakkola, J.J.K.
dc.contributor.authorRyti, N.
dc.contributor.authorPascal, M.
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, A.
dc.contributor.authorKatsouyanni, K.
dc.contributor.authorSamoli, E.
dc.contributor.authorMayvaneh, F.
dc.contributor.authorEntezari, A.
dc.contributor.authorGoodman, P.
dc.contributor.authorZeka, A.
dc.contributor.authorMichelozzi, P.
dc.contributor.authorde’Donato, F.
dc.contributor.authorHashizume, M.
dc.contributor.authorAlahmad, B.
dc.contributor.authorDiaz, M. Hurtado
dc.contributor.authorValencia, C. De La Cruz
dc.contributor.authorOvercenco, A.
dc.contributor.authorHouthuijs, D.
dc.contributor.authorAmeling, C.
dc.contributor.authorRao, S.
dc.contributor.authorDi Ruscio, F.
dc.contributor.authorCarrasco-Escobar, G.
dc.contributor.authorSeposo, X.
dc.contributor.authorSilva, S.
dc.contributor.authorMadureira, J.
dc.contributor.authorHolobaca, I.H.
dc.contributor.authorFratianni, S.
dc.contributor.authorAcquaotta, F.
dc.contributor.authorKim, H.
dc.contributor.authorLee, W.
dc.contributor.authorIniguez, C.
dc.contributor.authorForsberg, B.
dc.contributor.authorRagettli, M.S.
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Y.L.L.
dc.contributor.authorChen, B.Y.
dc.contributor.authorLi, S.
dc.contributor.authorArmstrong, B.
dc.contributor.authorAleman, A.
dc.contributor.authorZanobetti, A.
dc.contributor.authorSchwartz, J.
dc.contributor.authorDang, T.N.
dc.contributor.authorDung, D.V.
dc.contributor.authorGillett, N.
dc.contributor.authorHaines, A.
dc.contributor.authorMengel, M.
dc.contributor.authorHuber, V.
dc.contributor.authorGasparrini, A.
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-31T17:17:54Z
dc.date.available2022-01-31T17:17:54Z
dc.date.issued2021-05-31
dc.description​Top 1st climate paper in 2021 for news and social media attention, by Carbon Brief (https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-the-climate-papers-most-featured-in-the-media-in-2021/)
dc.description.abstractClimate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991–2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5–76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipThis study was supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant no. MR/M022625/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant no. NE/R009384/1) and the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project Exhaustion (grant no. 820655). N.S. was supported by the NIEHS-funded HERCULES Center (P30ES019776). Y.H. was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency, Japan (JPMEERF15S11412). J.J.J.K.J. was supported by Academy of Finland (grant no. 310372). V.H. was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant no. PCIN-2017-046) and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (grant no. 01LS1201A2). J.K. and A.U. were supported by the Czech Science Foundation (grant no. 20-28560S). J.M. was supported by the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT) (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016). S.R. and F.d.R. were supported by European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project EXHAUSTION (grant no. 820655). M.H. was supported by the Japan Science and Technology Agency as part of SICORP, grant no. JPMJSC20E4. Y.G. was supported by the Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1163693). S.L. was support by the Early Career Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1109193). Y.L.L.G. was supported by the Taiwan Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST110-2918-I-002-007) as a visiting academic at the University of Sydney.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationNat Clim Chang. 2021 Jun;11(6):492-500. doi: 10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x. Epub 2021 May 31.pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41558-021-01058-xpt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1758-678X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/7899
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherNature Researchpt_PT
dc.relationEarly life exposure to atmospheric air pollutants and potential DNA damage: Consequences on development and childhood outcomes APPEAL
dc.relationExposure to heat and air pollution in EUrope – cardiopulmonary impacts and benefits of mitigation and adaptation
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01058-xpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectMortalitypt_PT
dc.subjectHeat-Related Mortalitypt_PT
dc.subjectClimate Changept_PT
dc.subjectDeterminantes da Saúde e da Doençapt_PT
dc.subjectEstados de Saúde e de Doençapt_PT
dc.subjectAvaliação do Impacte em Saúdept_PT
dc.titleThe burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate changept_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleEarly life exposure to atmospheric air pollutants and potential DNA damage: Consequences on development and childhood outcomes APPEAL
oaire.awardTitleExposure to heat and air pollution in EUrope – cardiopulmonary impacts and benefits of mitigation and adaptation
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT//SFRH%2FBPD%2F115112%2F2016/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/820655/EU
oaire.citation.endPage500pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue6pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage492pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleNature Climate Changept_PT
oaire.citation.volume11pt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamH2020
person.familyNamedas Neves Pereira da Silva
person.givenNameSusana
person.identifier.ciencia-idB718-8EF6-EBD8
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2524-0548
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100008530
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameEuropean Commission
rcaap.embargofctAcesso de acordo com política editorial da revista.pt_PT
rcaap.rightsembargoedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication49b180bc-3e03-4347-9e32-5725fd7142f8
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery49b180bc-3e03-4347-9e32-5725fd7142f8
relation.isProjectOfPublication0c38fa63-8890-47d4-b3d3-1aa47f53b966
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relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery59609b8b-2750-43e0-8fe9-155a4915a572

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