Browsing by Author "McMenamin, Jim"
Now showing 1 - 5 of 5
Results Per Page
Sort Options
- Estimated number of lives directly saved by COVID-19 vaccination programmes in the WHO European Region from December, 2020, to March, 2023: a retrospective surveillance studyPublication . Meslé, Margaux M.I.; Brown, Jeremy; Mook, Piers; Katz, Mark A.; Hagan, José; Pastore, Roberta; Benka, Bernhard; Redlberger-Fritz, Monika; Bossuyt, Nathalie; Stouten, Veerle; Vernemmen, Catharina; Constantinou, Elisabet; Maly, Marek; Kynčl, Jan; Sanca, Ondrej; Krause, Tyra Grove; Vestergaard, Lasse Skafte; Leino, Tuija; Poukka, Eero; Gkolfinopoulou, Kassiani; Mellou, Kassiani; Tsintziloni, Maria; Molnár, Zsuzsanna; Aspelund, Gudrun; Thordardottir, Marianna; Domegan, Lisa; Kelly, Eva; O'Donell, Joan; Urdiales, Alberto-Mateo; Riccardo, Flavia; Sacco, Chiara; Bumšteinas, Viktoras; Liausediene, Rasa; Mossong, Joël; Vergison, Anne; Borg, Maria-Louise; Melillo, Tanya; Kocinski, Dragan; Pollozhani, Enkela; Meijerink, Hinta; Costa, Diana; Gomes, João Paulo; Leite, Pedro Pinto; Druc, Alina; Gutu, Veaceslav; Mita, Valentin; Lazar, Mihaela; Popescu, Rodica; Popovici, Odette; Musilová, Monika; Mrzel, Maja; Socan, Maja; Učakar, Veronika; Limia, Aurora; Mazagatos, Clara; Olmedo, Carmen; Dabrera, Gavin; Kall, Meaghan; Sinnathamby, Mary; McGowan, Graham; McMenamin, Jim; Morrison, Kirsty; Nitzan, Dorit; Widdowson, Marc-Alain; Smallwood, Catherine; Pebody, Richard; WHO European Respiratory Surveillance NetworkBackground: By March, 2023, 54 countries, areas, and territories (hereafter CAT) in the WHO European Region had reported more than 2·2 million COVID-19-related deaths to the WHO Regional Office for Europe. Here, we estimated how many lives were directly saved by vaccinating adults in the WHO European Region from December, 2020, to March, 2023. Methods: In this retrospective surveillance study, we estimated the number of lives directly saved by age group, vaccine dose, and circulating variant-of-concern (VOC) period, regionally and nationally, using weekly data on COVID-19 mortality and infection, COVID-19 vaccination uptake, and SARS-CoV-2 virus characterisations by lineage downloaded from The European Surveillance System on June 11, 2023, as well as vaccine effectiveness data from the literature. We included data for six age groups (25-49 years, 50-59 years, ≥60 years, 60-69 years, 70-79 years, and ≥80 years). To be included in the analysis, CAT needed to have reported both COVID-19 vaccination and mortality data for at least one of the four older age groups. Only CAT that reported weekly data for both COVID-19 vaccination and mortality by age group for 90% of study weeks or more in the full study period were included. We calculated the percentage reduction in the number of expected and reported deaths. Findings: Between December, 2020, and March, 2023, in 34 of 54 CAT included in the analysis, COVID-19 vaccines reduced deaths by 59% overall (CAT range 17-82%), representing approximately 1·6 million lives saved (range 1·5-1·7 million) in those aged 25 years or older: 96% of lives saved were aged 60 years or older and 52% were aged 80 years or older; first boosters saved 51% of lives, and 60% were saved during the Omicron period. Interpretation: Over nearly 2·5 years, most lives saved by COVID-19 vaccination were in older adults by first booster dose and during the Omicron period, reinforcing the importance of up-to-date vaccination among the most at-risk individuals. Further modelling work should evaluate indirect effects of vaccination and public health and social measures.
- Health and economic impact of seasonal influenza mass vaccination strategies in European settings: A mathematical modelling and cost-effectiveness analysisPublication . Sandmann, Frank; van Leeuwen, Edwin; Bernard-Stoecklin, Sibylle; Casado, Itziar; Castilla, Jesús; Domegan, Lisa; Gherasim, Alin; Hooiveld, Mariëtte; Kislaya, Irina; Larrauri, Amparo; Levy-Bruhl, Daniel; Machado, Ausenda; Marques, Diogo; Martínez-Baz, Iván; Mazagatos, Clara; McMenamin, Jim; Meijer, Adam; Murray, Josephine; Nunes, Baltazar; O'Donnell, Joan; Reynolds, Arlene; Thorrington, Dominic; Pebody, Richard; Baguelin, MarcIntroduction: Despite seasonal influenza vaccination programmes in most countries targeting individuals aged ≥ 65 (or ≥ 55) years and high risk-groups, significant disease burden remains. We explored the impact and cost-effectiveness of 27 vaccination programmes targeting the elderly and/or children in eight European settings (n = 205.8 million). Methods: We used an age-structured dynamic-transmission model to infer age- and (sub-)type-specific seasonal influenza virus infections calibrated to England, France, Ireland, Navarra, The Netherlands, Portugal, Scotland, and Spain between 2010/11 and 2017/18. The base-case vaccination scenario consisted of non-adjuvanted, non-high dose trivalent vaccines (TV) and no universal paediatric vaccination. We explored i) moving the elderly to "improved" (i.e., adjuvanted or high-dose) trivalent vaccines (iTV) or non-adjuvanted non-high-dose quadrivalent vaccines (QV); ii) adopting mass paediatric vaccination with TV or QV; and iii) combining the elderly and paediatric strategies. We estimated setting-specific costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained from the healthcare perspective, and discounted QALYs at 3.0%. Results: In the elderly, the estimated numbers of infection per 100,000 population are reduced by a median of 261.5 (range across settings: 154.4, 475.7) when moving the elderly to iTV and by 150.8 (77.6, 262.3) when moving them to QV. Through indirect protection, adopting mass paediatric programmes with 25% uptake achieves similar reductions in the elderly of 233.6 using TV (range: 58.9, 425.6) or 266.5 using QV (65.7, 477.9), with substantial health gains from averted infections across ages. At €35,000/QALY gained, moving the elderly to iTV plus adopting mass paediatric QV programmes provides the highest mean net benefits and probabilities of being cost-effective in all settings and paediatric coverage levels. Conclusion: Given the direct and indirect protection, and depending on the vaccine prices, model results support a combination of having moved the elderly to an improved vaccine and adopting universal paediatric vaccination programmes across the European settings.
- Interim 2017/18 influenza seasonal vaccine effectiveness: combined results from five European studiesPublication . Rondy, Marc; Kissling, Esther; Emborg, Hanne-Dorthe; Gherasim, Alin; Pebody, Richard; Trebbien, Ramona; Pozo, Francisco; Larrauri, Amparo; McMenamin, Jim; Valenciano, Marta; I-Move/I-Move GroupBetween September 2017 and February 2018, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2) and B viruses (mainly B/Yamagata, not included in 2017/18 trivalent vaccines) co-circulated in Europe. Interim results from five European studies indicate that, in all age groups, 2017/18 influenza vaccine effectiveness was 25 to 52% against any influenza, 55 to 68% against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, -42 to 7% against influenza A(H3N2) and 36 to 54% against influenza B. 2017/18 influenza vaccine should be promoted where influenza still circulates.
- Interim 2019/20 influenza vaccine effectiveness: six European studies, September 2019 to January 2020Publication . Rose, Angela; Kissling, Esther; Emborg, Hanne-Dorthe; Larrauri, Amparo; McMenamin, Jim; Pozo, Francisco; Trebbien, Ramona; Mazagatos, Clara; Whitaker, Heather; Machado, Ausenda; Gómez, Verónica; Nunes, Baltazar; Kislaya, Irina; Pechirra, Pedro; Conde, Patrícia; Rodrigues, Ana Paula; Cristóvão, Paula; Costa, Inês; Guiomar, Raquel; European IVE GroupBackground: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H3N2) and B viruses were co-circulating in Europe between September 2019 and January 2020. Aim: To provide interim 2019/20 influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates from six European studies, covering 10 countries and both primary care and hospital settings. Methods: All studies used the test-negative design, although there were some differences in other study characteristics, e.g. patient selection, data sources, case definitions and included age groups. Overall and influenza (sub)type-specific VE was estimated for each study using logistic regression adjusted for potential confounders. Results: There were 31,537 patients recruited across the six studies, of which 5,300 (17%) were cases with 5,310 infections. Most of these (4,466; 84%) were influenza A. The VE point estimates for all ages were 29% to 61% against any influenza in the primary care setting and 35% to 60% in hospitalised older adults (aged 65 years and over). The VE point estimates against A(H1N1)pdm09 (all ages, both settings) was 48% to 75%, and against A(H3N2) ranged from −58% to 57% (primary care) and −16% to 60% (hospital). Against influenza B, VE for all ages was 62% to 83% (primary care only). Conclusions: Influenza vaccination is of continued benefit during the ongoing 2019/20 influenza season. Robust end-of-season VE estimates and genetic virus characterisation results may help understand the variability in influenza (sub) type-specific results across studies.
- Rapidly adapting primary care sentinel surveillance across seven countries in Europe for COVID-19 in the first half of 2020: strengths, challenges, and lessons learnedPublication . Bagaria, Jayshree; Jansen, Tessa; Marques, Diogo F.P.; Hooiveld, Mariette; McMenamin, Jim; de Lusignan, Simon; Vilcu, Ana-Maria; Meijer, Adam; Rodrigues, Ana Paula; Brytting, Mia; Mazagatos, Clara; Cogdale, Jade; van der Werf, Sylvie; Dijkstra, Frederika; Guiomar, Raquel; Enkirch, Theresa; Valenciano, Marta; I-MOVE-COVID-19 study teamAs the COVID-19 pandemic began in early 2020, primary care influenza sentinel surveillance networks within the Influenza - Monitoring Vaccine Effectiveness in Europe (I-MOVE) consortium rapidly adapted to COVID-19 surveillance. This study maps system adaptations and lessons learned about aligning influenza and COVID-19 surveillance following ECDC / WHO/Europe recommendations and preparing for other diseases possibly emerging in the future. Using a qualitative approach, we describe the adaptations of seven sentinel sites in five European Union countries and the United Kingdom during the first pandemic phase (March–September 2020). Adaptations to sentinel systems were substantial (2/7 sites), moderate (2/7) or minor (3/7 sites). Most adaptations encompassed patient referral and sample collection pathways, laboratory testing and data collection. Strengths included established networks of primary care providers, highly qualified testing laboratories and stakeholder commitments. One challenge was the decreasing number of samples due to altered patient pathways. Lessons learned included flexibility establishing new routines and new laboratory testing. To enable simultaneous sentinel surveillance of influenza and COVID-19, experiences of the sentinel sites and testing infrastructure should be considered. The contradicting aims of rapid case finding and contact tracing, which are needed for control during a pandemic and regular surveillance, should be carefully balanced.